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Islamabad – A palpable sense of unease is gripping Pakistan as India prepares for a potential test of its Agni-5 Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM). The Strategic Vision Institute (SVI), a prominent Islamabad-based think tank, has issued a stark warning to Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif and Chief of Army Staff (COAS) Asim Munir, highlighting the significant implications for regional security and stability.

The Agni-5, with its reported range of over 5,000 kilometers, is capable of reaching targets deep within Pakistan, sparking concerns about a potential shift in the strategic balance of power. This capability has prompted the SVI to urge the Pakistani government and military to reassess their own defense strategies and engage in proactive diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions.

Understanding the Agni-5 and its Implications

The Agni-5 is a solid-fueled, three-stage ballistic missile developed by India’s Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO). Its long-range capability is not just a technological feat, but a significant strategic statement. It signals India's ambition to be a major global power with the ability to project its influence across vast distances. For Pakistan, this development represents a direct challenge to its national security, forcing it to consider its response options.

SVI's Warning: A Call for Strategic Review

The SVI's warning isn't just about reacting to a potential missile test; it's a call for a comprehensive strategic review. The think tank argues that Pakistan needs to strengthen its own missile defense capabilities, explore options for nuclear deterrence, and most importantly, engage in dialogue with India to prevent a dangerous arms race. They emphasize that miscalculation or accidental escalation could have catastrophic consequences for both nations and the region.

“The Agni-5’s potential deployment necessitates a thorough reassessment of our national security architecture,” stated a senior analyst at SVI. “We must prioritize diplomatic engagement alongside bolstering our defense mechanisms. Ignoring this reality is not an option.”

Regional and International Reactions

The news of India's impending test has also drawn attention from other regional players and international observers. China, a key ally of Pakistan, has expressed concern over the escalating military tensions in South Asia. The United States, with its deep security ties to India, has called for restraint and urged both countries to maintain open communication channels.

The Path Forward: Diplomacy and Dialogue

While Pakistan faces a complex security challenge, experts believe that diplomacy remains the most viable path forward. The SVI advocates for a resumption of dialogue between India and Pakistan, focusing on confidence-building measures and arms control agreements. They also suggest exploring multilateral forums to address regional security concerns and prevent further escalation. The current climate demands a measured response, prioritizing de-escalation and fostering an environment conducive to peaceful resolution of disputes.

The situation underscores the urgent need for both India and Pakistan to prioritize regional stability and avoid actions that could trigger a dangerous spiral of escalation. The stakes are simply too high.